When the Chiefs (1-0) travel to the Ravens (0-1) for ‘Sunday Night Football’ in Week 2 (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), it will be familiar battle with MVP quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson on the marquee. The AFC powers collide in an important early matchup with Kansas City trying to build on its front-running status and Baltimore trying to avoid another slow start.
The Chiefs rallied to beat the Browns at home. The Ravens gave up big lead and lost to another AFC West, the Raiders on the road on Monday night.
Will Mahomes have a letdown after his latest epic comeback? Will Jackson give his team better action to handle a short week?
Here’s everything to know about betting on Chiefs vs. Ravens in Week 2, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for “Sunday Night Football.”
WEEK 2 NFL PICKS: Straight up | Against the spread
Chiefs vs. Ravens odds for ‘Sunday Night Football’
(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)
The Chiefs have been holding steady just above field-goal favorites on the road. The point total has dropped a little knowing both offenses are dealing with some injuries around the quarterback. Neither defense played well in Week 1 with injury concerns.
Chiefs vs. Ravens all-time series
The Chiefs and Ravens have met 11 times before, with Kansas City holding a 7-4 edge. The Chiefs have won four straight with Andy Reid over John Harbaugh going back to 2015. Before then, the Ravens were riding the four-game winning streak from ’06 through ’12. The Chiefs won the ’19 game 33-28 and last season’s contest, also in Baltimore, 34-20.
Three trends to know
— 82 percent of bettors are confident the more desperate Ravens will cover the spread. 82 percent also have them on the moneyline to win straight up despite the recent history.
— 52 percent of bettors believe Mahomes and Jackson will live up to the prime-time shootout and are taking the over.
— The Chiefs are 9-1 in their past 10 regular-season games but they are only 1-8-1 against the spread in those games. The Ravens are 6-4 in that stretch and have gone 7-3 ATS.
Three things to watch
Who will stop Mahomes?
The Ravens’ pass defense lost edge rusher Matthew Judon in free agency and then lost cornerback Marcus Peters to a torn ACL before the season. It struggled in the second half and overtime against the Raiders, needing to resort to “cover zero” and plenty of heavy blitzes to try to pressure Derek Carr. Mahomes will shred anyone who tries to come after him with extra men and leaves juicier matchups for his wide receivers and tight end Travis Kelce downfield.
Who will stop the Ravens’ running game?
The Ravens, with Jackson and their offensive line, have a strong baseline for their rushing attack. Their reshuffled backfield can still be effective, even with Ty’Son Williams and Latavius Murray now leading it. The Chiefs couldn’t handle the Browns’ combination of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Ravens must stay grounded to win the game, both to control the ball and keep it away from Mahomes. That will also set up the few big pass plays they need from Jackson to outduel Mahomes.
Kelce vs. Mark Andrews
Two of the NFL’s best and highest-paid tight ends will be in action on Sunday night. Kelce tore up the Browns while Andrews was quiet against the Raiders. If the Ravens cannot cover Kelce like they struggled against Darren Waller, they have no shot. At the same time, they need Andrews to stretch the field against a Chiefs’ defense who also looked bad against the position in Week 1.
Stats that matter
0-3, 78.9 and 5.38. Those are Jackson’s respective record, passer rating and yards per passing attempt in three games against the Chiefs. Their style of defense gives him fits for some reason because they focus more on overall containment. Jackson must have a big game with better protection to take down Mahomes in the fourth try.
Chiefs vs. Ravens prediction
The Chiefs have the Ravens’ number and this matchup doesn’t feel any different with the trends for both teams. Mahomes will like the matchups all across the board while Jackson has more limited weapons especially if a negative game script develops. It will be a grinding test for Kansas City with Baltimore pumped up at home, but it comes through to roll into Week 3.
Chiefs 27, Ravens 23
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